FAILEDStated July 2024source unconfirmed
David ShapiroAI commentator & author
"I have predicted superintelligence by 2027 and a technical academic AGI in about 2025… Real deal AGI I expect to be later in 2025 through the end of 2026."
AGItimeline
- Verdict
- Did not happen
- Deadline in claim
- Technical AGI ~2025; "real deal" AGI by end of 2026
Assessment
No "technical academic AGI" was recognised in 2025. The end-of-2026 "real deal" component is still open, but the 2025 component did not occur. Note: sourced only to third-party reporting (NextBigFuture); primary source not yet located. Excluded from the scorecard pending a primary source.
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