Why this exists

I built this because confident, specific predictions about AI shouldn’t evaporate the moment their deadline passes. People make plans — career decisions, investments, real anxiety — off forecasts delivered with total certainty. The least anyone owes them is a scoreboard.

It isn’t personal and it isn’t a takedown. It’s a record. Anyone who makes specific, dated public forecasts about AI should expect them checked against what actually happened — founders, skeptics, and commentators alike. The standings cut both ways: where a call lands, the ledger says so as plainly as when one misses.

So that’s the rule I held myself to: no claim on the ledger without a primary source, no verdict that isn’t checkable, and a corrections policy that means it. Disagree with my opinion all you like — the receipts don’t need it.