PENDINGStated October 2025source unconfirmed
David ShapiroAI commentator & author
"I'm updating my predictions. At the end of 2024 I said: 2025 — the year of the agent (so far, quite true); 2026 — the year of the robot; 2027 — the year of superintelligence. I now think that superintelligence will also happen in 2026."
superintelligencetimeline
- Verdict
- Deadline not reached
- Deadline in claim
- 2026
Assessment
An accelerated forecast moving superintelligence from 2027 to 2026. The 2026 deadline has not yet elapsed, so this remains open. Note: this is sourced only to an X post we have not independently re-confirmed; shown for completeness, excluded from the scorecard.
Put this through The Wringer →Primary sources
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