FULFILLEDStated 2024
Yann LeCunChief AI Scientist, Meta; Turing laureate
"We are not going to get to human-level AI by just scaling up LLMs… it's not going to happen within the next two years."
AGILLM limits
- Verdict
- Came true
- Deadline in claim
- ~2 years (by ~2026)
Assessment
As of mid-2026, scaling LLMs has not produced human-level AI, matching the (deliberately modest) two-year claim. Fulfilled — a skeptic's call that held.
Put this through The Wringer →Primary sources
Links open the original publications. Quotations are reproduced for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Spot an error? Corrections policy.