FULFILLEDStated January 1, 2018
Rodney BrooksMIT roboticist; AI/robotics skeptic
"Emergence of the generally agreed upon ‘next big thing’ in AI beyond deep learning… no earlier than 2023, by 2027."
AI trendsforecast
- Verdict
- Came true
- Deadline in claim
- 2023–2027
Assessment
Large language models became the widely-agreed “next big thing” starting in 2023 — inside his 2023–2027 window, predicted back in 2018. Brooks marks it correct in his own 2026 scorecard. Fulfilled.
Put this through The Wringer →Primary sources
- Third-party articleMy Dated Predictions (rodneybrooks.com)2018-01-01 ↗
- Third-party articlePredictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01 (rodneybrooks.com)2026-01-01 ↗
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