FAILEDStated March 10, 2025
Dario AmodeiCEO, Anthropic
"I think we'll be there in three to six months — where AI is writing 90 percent of the code. And then in twelve months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code."
codingtimeline
- Verdict
- Did not happen
- Deadline in claim
- 90% by ~Sep 2025; “all code” by ~Mar 2026
Assessment
Both windows have passed. AI coding tools are heavily used, but AI is not writing 90%+ of code across the software industry, and certainly not “essentially all” of it. Amodei later (Feb 2026) narrowed the claim to “at least at some places.” Scored failed as originally stated.
Put this through The Wringer →Primary sources
- YouTubeAnthropic CEO at CFR: AI will be writing ~90–100% of code2025-03-10 ↗
- Third-party articleCEO Speaker Series: Dario Amodei (Council on Foreign Relations)2025-03-10 ↗
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